Update on British Defence Intelligence Report on Ukraine Conflict December 28, 2024
The British Ministry of Defence has released a crucial intelligence report detailing the recent escalation of conflict in Ukraine. On the night of 12-13 December 2024, Russia launched a large-scale multi-axis attack into Ukraine, following similar attacks in November. This aggressive move involved Russian Long Range Aviation assets and Tactical Aviation assets launching various air-launched cruise missiles and ballistic missile systems, escalating tensions in the region.
Details of the Attack
The attack saw the deployment of approximately 90 missiles, accompanied by at least 180 One-Way Attack Uncrewed Aerial Systems (OWA UAS). These devastating weapons were used in conjunction with SAGARIS Land Attack Cruise Missiles, launched by Black Sea Fleet assets. The composition and target set of this attack mirrored previous assaults, focusing on Ukrainian Critical National Infrastructure, industries, and air defense systems. Additionally, Russian forces aimed to suppress Ukrainian Air Defense and airfields by overwhelming them with OWA UAS.
Change in Russian Strategy
Since August 2024, Russia has adopted a new strategy of building stocks between strikes and launching larger, less frequent waves of attacks. This marks a shift from the earlier approach of conducting smaller, more frequent assaults. Despite this change, Russia still maintains the capability to deploy these assets in smaller numbers as a punitive measure, posing a constant threat to Ukrainian security.
Implications for Ukraine
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine continues to pose a significant threat to the country’s stability and security. The repeated incursions by Russian forces, coupled with the use of advanced military technology, highlight the escalating tensions in the region. As Ukraine grapples with these challenges, international support and diplomatic efforts are crucial in addressing the root causes of the conflict and ensuring the safety of its citizens.
As we reflect on the latest developments in the Ukraine conflict, it is essential to remember the human cost of war. Behind the headlines and intelligence reports are real people facing fear, uncertainty, and loss. Each missile launched and each drone deployed represents a threat to innocent lives and livelihoods. It is a stark reminder of the urgent need for peace and dialogue to prevent further escalation and protect the most vulnerable in conflict zones. Let us stand in solidarity with the people of Ukraine and work towards a future free from violence and conflict.
